Mason-Dixon Poll: Gov. Beshear Holds Significant Leads Against Top 4 GOP Challengers

A new statewide poll shows Daniel Cameron leading the Republican primary pack right now, but losing to Democratic incumbent Gov. Andy Beshear is the race were held today.

Daniel Cameron is the clear early Republican frontrunner, holding a 20-point lead over Kelly Craft (39%-13%), according to the poll. Statewide elected officials Ryan Quarles (8%) and Mike Harmon (5%) are both currently only garnering single digit support. However, a significant number of likely GOP primary voters (28%) remain undecided.

Mason-Dixon also ranked Gov. Beshear’s performance finding statewide, 61% approve of the job he is doing, while only 29% disapprove and 10% are unsure.

Beshear holds significant leads over each of the four leading Republican challengers.
Cameron runs the strongest against Beshear in a general election match-up,
but still trails by nine-points (49%-40%). Beshear has double-digit leads over the other leading GOP contenders, topping Kelly Craft by 57%-32%, Ryan Quarles 52%-35% and Mike Harmon 53%-33%.

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. from January 18 through Jan. 23, 2023. A total of 625 registered Kentucky voters were interviewed statewide by telephone
Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Kentucky voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ±4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent
probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed, according to the pollster.

This poll also included an oversample of 404 likely Republican primary voters. These voters were only asked the questions relative to the Republican gubernatorial primary election. The margin for error of the primary results is ±5.

A dozen Republicans are vying for the GOP nomination on May 16 to challenge Beshear in November.