Daniel Cameron Claims Lead in GOP Primary With Questionable Poll

Attorney General Daniel Cameron is claiming a “massive” 30 point lead in the GOP primary for governor with a poll conducted by his general campaign consultant.

The poll was conducted by co/efficient where Cameron’s consultant Brandon Moody is a partner. The polling took place June 13 and 14 via mobile text response and automated landline interviews among 974 Republican voters with a +/- 3.54% margin of error, according to co/efficient.

The pollster claims Cameron is leading the field with 37 percent. The poll also shows 40 percent of those polled are undecided in the race.

Digging through the poll, there’s a number that is not highlighted by the pollster which shows 41 percent of those polled have voted in one or none of the last four GOP primaries. The number is important as off-cycle gubernatorial primaries are low turnout affairs with 214,000 ballots cast in the GOP primary in 2015, and 260,000 ballots cast in the 2019 primary, compared with the nearly 1.6 million registered Republicans.

“Daniel and his wife, Makenze, are honored and humbled to have such deep statewide support at this early stage. We know it’s early and take nothing for granted,” Moody said in a statement. “We know Daniel will be the subject of unprovoked attacks during this campaign, but we’re focused on building a movement across the Commonwealth that can defeat Andy Beshear and restore conservative leadership to the Governor’s office.”

There is currently no independent polling in the governor’s race.

There are currently multiple high profile candidates in the race for governor including Agriculture Commissioner Ryan Quarles, Auditor Mike Harmon, Rep. Savannah Maddox, and Eric Deters. Kelly Craft, who is mentioned in the poll, and Somerset Mayor Alan Keck are also expected to enter the race this year. Former Gov. Matt Bevin continues to contemplate a run.